Well, I recently went out to the theatres to see ‘An Inconvenient Truth’ which I felt was going to be a Michael Moore biased-as-fuck “Documentary” and my fears were in many ways confirmed and in many ways belied. Ignoring the fear, uncertainty, and doubt flashed about in the movie, I was glad there was research behind the film. Now allow me to put my butt-face on.
Before this movie I had swung back and forth on Global Warming a couple of times and was cautiously optimistic regarding the whole subject. I had read a few articles from either side: some supporting some decrying the alarmist views regarding global warming. First I want to make something clear: Al Gore posits that because of 928 peer-reviewed scientific articles, 928 agree that global warming is happening and, presumably though not explicitly stated, caused by human intervention. While, this sounds very convincing and it does indeed show that some very smart people agree on this topic, it does not state the topics of said articles. Just because an evolutionary biologist thinks global warming is anthropogenic doesn’t make it more credible; a climatologist has drastically more clout on this subject. Before I sound like an evidence ignoring fundamentalist, I have to once again clarify that I am aware this does not invalidate his point: many very smart people agree on the subject. In fact, Michael Shermer (founder of the Skeptics Society) has just recently flipped on his stance regarding global warming in part because of Gore’s slideshow. Some of the things which shocked and scared Shermer don’t have quite the same effect on me. I don’t personally care about the beauty of glaciers so seeing some well known ones receding didn’t have much significance. Not mentioning that these glaciers could be receding from the end of the last ice age; we have limited knowledge of the scope of ice ages and the timeframe under which they work. Granted, seeing the ice atop the Himalayas disappear was a surprise to me and it did indeed make me question what the doubters had been saying. So I took it upon myself to re-examine the doubting statements; time to get angry.
In one of the skeptical articles I read, they stated that 650 thousand years ago the CO2 concentration in the atmosphere was three times higher than the current levels and it was the coldest time in the recorded history we have available as of yet. This is, as far as I can tell, complete bullshit. I found an article which discussed the new core sample (circa Nov 2005) extending our ice history back 650 thousand years. The article confirmed that our current concentrations are an anomoly and that our current concentrations are 27% higher than any previously recorded values. In a different article it was stated that while the Arctic ice shelf is receding in some areas it is actually thickening and growing elsewhere. This is another statement for which I can find no corroborating evidence; all the evidence points points to the shelf thinning and receding fairly quickly. What the fuck?
Being skeptical is one thing but lying to make your “point” is just wrong. So I decided to take a fresh look at the facts. Even without people lying their asses off, there is indeed a healthy dose of reasonable doubt awash on this entire issue. However, as a responsible skeptic, I follow the facts and so I have to admit that I’m leaning toward the global warming argument now. It could be simply anger at the skeptics lying to me but there is also a healthy body of evidence supporting Global Warming whereas every solid disproof I’ve heard of disappears under further scrutiny. It sucks to have to admit to yourself that you were bamboozled into a certain opinion through indirection and lies but if I just continued to deny Global Warming blindly, I’d be no better than the fundamentalist.